Steven Grant Almeida FX research and analysis
2026-06-16 · By Steven Grant Almeida

EUR/USD Daily Research Brief - 2026-06-16

Primary bias: bearish. This report was timestamped before its outcome and will remain in the archive.

Upper trigger 1.16248 Lower trigger 1.15545 Target 1 1.15176 Invalidation 1.15914

Bias factors

-1
Price vs EMA20
Price is below EMA20
-1
EMA9 vs EMA20
Fast EMA leads lower
-1
SMA20 vs SMA50
Medium trend is defensive
-1
Ichimoku cloud
Price is below the daily cloud

Technical snapshot

Close1.15894
EMA 9 / 201.15761 / 1.16017
SMA 20 / 50 / 2001.16004 / 1.16724 / 1.16767
RSI(14)46.2
ATR(14)56.8 pips

Provider consensus

Providers monitored20
Measurable calls7
Independent calls7
Duplicates removed0

57.3% bullish · 14.2% neutral · 28.5% bearish

Accuracy-weighted consensus: bullish with 65.5% confidence.

Consensus qualification: not enough independent calls yet.

Sources and disclosure

  • OANDA v20: EUR/USD daily and four-hour midpoint candles
  • Stooq: US Dollar Index daily history (unavailable for this run)

Educational market research only. This is not individualized investment advice or a promise of future performance.

Recorded outcome: not_triggered