Steven Grant Almeida FX research and analysis
2026-06-18 · By Steven Grant Almeida

EUR/USD Daily Research Brief - 2026-06-18

Primary bias: neutral. This report was timestamped before its outcome and will remain in the archive.

Upper trigger 1.16232 Lower trigger 1.14745

Bias factors

-1
Price vs EMA20
Price is below EMA20
-1
EMA9 vs EMA20
Fast EMA leads lower
-1
SMA20 vs SMA50
Medium trend is defensive
-1
Ichimoku cloud
Price is below the daily cloud

Technical snapshot

Close1.15020
EMA 9 / 201.15665 / 1.15928
SMA 20 / 50 / 2001.15943 / 1.16694 / 1.16748
RSI(14)37
ATR(14)66.4 pips

Provider consensus

Providers monitored20
Measurable calls22
Independent calls12
Duplicates removed10

72.9% bullish · 8.8% neutral · 18.2% bearish

Accuracy-weighted consensus: bullish with 83.6% confidence.

Consensus qualification: used in final scenario.

Sources and disclosure

  • OANDA v20: EUR/USD daily and four-hour midpoint candles
  • Stooq: US Dollar Index daily history (unavailable for this run)

Educational market research only. This is not individualized investment advice or a promise of future performance.