Steven Grant Almeida FX research and analysis
2026-06-19 · By Steven Grant Almeida

EUR/USD Daily Research Brief - 2026-06-19

Primary bias: neutral. This report was timestamped before its outcome and will remain in the archive.

Upper trigger 1.16201 Lower trigger 1.14241

Bias factors

-1
Price vs EMA20
Price is below EMA20
-1
EMA9 vs EMA20
Fast EMA leads lower
-1
SMA20 vs SMA50
Medium trend is defensive
-1
Ichimoku cloud
Price is below the daily cloud

Technical snapshot

Close1.14579
EMA 9 / 201.15447 / 1.15799
SMA 20 / 50 / 2001.15863 / 1.16646 / 1.16735
RSI(14)33.3
ATR(14)67.8 pips

Provider consensus

Providers monitored20
Measurable calls31
Independent calls13
Duplicates removed18

61.1% bullish · 15.3% neutral · 23.7% bearish

Accuracy-weighted consensus: bullish with 72.6% confidence.

Consensus qualification: used in final scenario.

Sources and disclosure

  • OANDA v20: EUR/USD daily and four-hour midpoint candles
  • Stooq: US Dollar Index daily history (unavailable for this run)

Educational market research only. This is not individualized investment advice or a promise of future performance.