Steven Grant Almeida FX research and analysis
2026-06-22 · By Steven Grant Almeida

EUR/USD Daily Research Brief - 2026-06-22

Primary bias: bearish. This report was timestamped before its outcome and will remain in the archive.

Upper trigger 1.15312 Lower trigger 1.14151 Target 1 1.13715 Invalidation 1.14731

Bias factors

-1
Price vs EMA20
Price is below EMA20
-1
EMA9 vs EMA20
Fast EMA leads lower
-1
SMA20 vs SMA50
Medium trend is defensive
-1
Ichimoku cloud
Price is below the daily cloud

Technical snapshot

Close1.14712
EMA 9 / 201.15300 / 1.15696
SMA 20 / 50 / 2001.15798 / 1.16595 / 1.16724
RSI(14)35.4
ATR(14)67.1 pips

Provider consensus

Providers monitored20
Measurable calls8
Independent calls4
Duplicates removed4

49.5% bullish · 25.3% neutral · 25.3% bearish

Accuracy-weighted consensus: bullish with 61.7% confidence.

Consensus qualification: not enough independent calls yet.

Sources and disclosure

  • OANDA v20: EUR/USD daily and four-hour midpoint candles
  • Stooq: US Dollar Index daily history (unavailable for this run)

Educational market research only. This is not individualized investment advice or a promise of future performance.

Recorded outcome: not_triggered