Steven Grant Almeida FX research and analysis
2026-06-23 · By Steven Grant Almeida

EUR/USD Daily Research Brief - 2026-06-23

Primary bias: bearish. This report was timestamped before its outcome and will remain in the archive.

Upper trigger 1.14830 Lower trigger 1.14157 Target 1 1.13732 Invalidation 1.14582

Bias factors

-1
Price vs EMA20
Price is below EMA20
-1
EMA9 vs EMA20
Fast EMA leads lower
-1
SMA20 vs SMA50
Medium trend is defensive
-1
Ichimoku cloud
Price is below the daily cloud

Technical snapshot

Close1.14284
EMA 9 / 201.15097 / 1.15561
SMA 20 / 50 / 2001.15690 / 1.16529 / 1.16709
RSI(14)31.9
ATR(14)65.5 pips

Provider consensus

Providers monitored20
Measurable calls14
Independent calls6
Duplicates removed8

32.2% bullish · 15.9% neutral · 51.9% bearish

Accuracy-weighted consensus: bearish with 59.3% confidence.

Consensus qualification: not enough independent calls yet.

Sources and disclosure

  • OANDA v20: EUR/USD daily and four-hour midpoint candles
  • Stooq: US Dollar Index daily history (unavailable for this run)

Educational market research only. This is not individualized investment advice or a promise of future performance.

Recorded outcome: target1