Steven Grant Almeida FX research and analysis
2026-06-26 · By Steven Grant Almeida

EUR/USD Daily Research Brief - 2026-06-26

Primary bias: bearish. This report was timestamped before its outcome and will remain in the archive.

Upper trigger 1.13910 Lower trigger 1.13218 Target 1 1.12807 Invalidation 1.13629

Bias factors

-1
Price vs EMA20
Price is below EMA20
-1
EMA9 vs EMA20
Fast EMA leads lower
-1
SMA20 vs SMA50
Medium trend is defensive
-1
Ichimoku cloud
Price is below the daily cloud

Technical snapshot

Close1.13702
EMA 9 / 201.14413 / 1.15078
SMA 20 / 50 / 2001.15292 / 1.16276 / 1.16646
RSI(14)29.1
ATR(14)63.2 pips

Provider consensus

Providers monitored20
Measurable calls27
Independent calls11
Duplicates removed16

36.6% bullish · 37.1% neutral · 26.3% bearish

Accuracy-weighted consensus: neutral with 54.4% confidence.

Consensus qualification: used in final scenario.

Sources and disclosure

  • OANDA v20: EUR/USD daily and four-hour midpoint candles
  • Stooq: US Dollar Index daily history (unavailable for this run)

Educational market research only. This is not individualized investment advice or a promise of future performance.

Recorded outcome: not_triggered