Steven Grant Almeida FX research and analysis
2026-06-29 · By Steven Grant Almeida

EUR/USD Daily Research Brief - 2026-06-29

Primary bias: bearish. This report was timestamped before its outcome and will remain in the archive.

Upper trigger 1.14368 Lower trigger 1.13307 Target 1 1.12882 Invalidation 1.13837

Bias factors

-1
Price vs EMA20
Price is below EMA20
-1
EMA9 vs EMA20
Fast EMA leads lower
-1
SMA20 vs SMA50
Medium trend is defensive
-1
Ichimoku cloud
Price is below the daily cloud

Technical snapshot

Close1.13850
EMA 9 / 201.14300 / 1.14961
SMA 20 / 50 / 2001.15153 / 1.16200 / 1.16625
RSI(14)31.7
ATR(14)65.4 pips

Provider consensus

Providers monitored20
Measurable calls10
Independent calls4
Duplicates removed6

44.1% bullish · 24.7% neutral · 31.2% bearish

Accuracy-weighted consensus: bullish with 54.4% confidence.

Consensus qualification: not enough independent calls yet.

Sources and disclosure

  • OANDA v20: EUR/USD daily and four-hour midpoint candles
  • Stooq: US Dollar Index daily history (unavailable for this run)

Educational market research only. This is not individualized investment advice or a promise of future performance.

Recorded outcome: not_triggered