Steven Grant Almeida FX research and analysis
2026-06-30 · By Steven Grant Almeida

EUR/USD Daily Research Brief - 2026-06-30

Primary bias: bearish. This report was timestamped before its outcome and will remain in the archive.

Upper trigger 1.14367 Lower trigger 1.13515 Target 1 1.13104 Invalidation 1.13941

Bias factors

-1
Price vs EMA20
Price is below EMA20
-1
EMA9 vs EMA20
Fast EMA leads lower
-1
SMA20 vs SMA50
Medium trend is defensive
-1
Ichimoku cloud
Price is below the daily cloud

Technical snapshot

Close1.14242
EMA 9 / 201.14288 / 1.14893
SMA 20 / 50 / 2001.15049 / 1.16128 / 1.16607
RSI(14)38.1
ATR(14)63.3 pips

Provider consensus

Providers monitored20
Measurable calls19
Independent calls8
Duplicates removed11

48.7% bullish · 24.1% neutral · 27.2% bearish

Accuracy-weighted consensus: bullish with 61% confidence.

Consensus qualification: used in final scenario.

Sources and disclosure

  • OANDA v20: EUR/USD daily and four-hour midpoint candles
  • Stooq: US Dollar Index daily history (unavailable for this run)

Educational market research only. This is not individualized investment advice or a promise of future performance.

Recorded outcome: not_triggered