Steven Grant Almeida FX research and analysis
2026-07-03 · By Steven Grant Almeida

EUR/USD Daily Research Brief - 2026-07-03

Primary bias: bearish. This report was timestamped before its outcome and will remain in the archive.

Upper trigger 1.14759 Lower trigger 1.13589 Target 1 1.13155 Invalidation 1.14174

Bias factors

-1
Price vs EMA20
Price is below EMA20
-1
EMA9 vs EMA20
Fast EMA leads lower
-1
SMA20 vs SMA50
Medium trend is defensive
-1
Ichimoku cloud
Price is below the daily cloud

Technical snapshot

Close1.14337
EMA 9 / 201.14208 / 1.14691
SMA 20 / 50 / 2001.14746 / 1.15948 / 1.16550
RSI(14)42.3
ATR(14)66.8 pips

Provider consensus

Providers monitored20
Measurable calls13
Independent calls6
Duplicates removed7

35.9% bullish · 14.2% neutral · 49.9% bearish

Accuracy-weighted consensus: bearish with 55.6% confidence.

Consensus qualification: not enough independent calls yet.

Sources and disclosure

  • OANDA v20: EUR/USD daily and four-hour midpoint candles
  • Stooq: US Dollar Index daily history (unavailable for this run)

Educational market research only. This is not individualized investment advice or a promise of future performance.

Recorded outcome: not_triggered