Steven Grant Almeida FX research and analysis
2026-07-06 · By Steven Grant Almeida

EUR/USD Daily Research Brief - 2026-07-06

Primary bias: bearish. This report was timestamped before its outcome and will remain in the archive.

Upper trigger 1.14751 Lower trigger 1.13729 Target 1 1.13317 Invalidation 1.14240

Bias factors

-1
Price vs EMA20
Price is below EMA20
-1
EMA9 vs EMA20
Fast EMA leads lower
-1
SMA20 vs SMA50
Medium trend is defensive
-1
Ichimoku cloud
Price is below the daily cloud

Technical snapshot

Close1.14376
EMA 9 / 201.14242 / 1.14661
SMA 20 / 50 / 2001.14703 / 1.15891 / 1.16535
RSI(14)42.8
ATR(14)63.4 pips

Provider consensus

Providers monitored20
Measurable calls5
Independent calls3
Duplicates removed2

33.3% bullish · 33.3% neutral · 33.3% bearish

Accuracy-weighted consensus: neutral with 45.8% confidence.

Consensus qualification: not enough independent calls yet.

Sources and disclosure

  • OANDA v20: EUR/USD daily and four-hour midpoint candles
  • Stooq: US Dollar Index daily history (unavailable for this run)

Educational market research only. This is not individualized investment advice or a promise of future performance.

Recorded outcome: not_triggered