Steven Grant Almeida FX research and analysis
2026-07-09 · By Steven Grant Almeida

EUR/USD Daily Research Brief - 2026-07-09

Primary bias: neutral. This report was timestamped before its outcome and will remain in the archive.

Upper trigger 1.14502 Lower trigger 1.13891

Bias factors

-1
Price vs EMA20
Price is below EMA20
-1
EMA9 vs EMA20
Fast EMA leads lower
-1
SMA20 vs SMA50
Medium trend is defensive
-1
Ichimoku cloud
Price is below the daily cloud

Technical snapshot

Close1.14162
EMA 9 / 201.14227 / 1.14547
SMA 20 / 50 / 2001.14532 / 1.15723 / 1.16494
RSI(14)40.8
ATR(14)55 pips

Provider consensus

Providers monitored20
Measurable calls34
Independent calls14
Duplicates removed20

64.8% bullish · 15% neutral · 20.2% bearish

Accuracy-weighted consensus: bullish with 77.5% confidence.

Consensus qualification: used in final scenario.

Sources and disclosure

  • OANDA v20: EUR/USD daily and four-hour midpoint candles
  • Stooq: US Dollar Index daily history (unavailable for this run)

Educational market research only. This is not individualized investment advice or a promise of future performance.