Steven Grant Almeida FX research and analysis
2026-07-10 · By Steven Grant Almeida

EUR/USD Daily Research Brief - 2026-07-10

Primary bias: bearish. This report was timestamped before its outcome and will remain in the archive.

Upper trigger 1.14630 Lower trigger 1.13890 Target 1 1.13551 Invalidation 1.14260

Bias factors

-1
Price vs EMA20
Price is below EMA20
-1
EMA9 vs EMA20
Fast EMA leads lower
-1
SMA20 vs SMA50
Medium trend is defensive
-1
Ichimoku cloud
Price is below the daily cloud

Technical snapshot

Close1.14302
EMA 9 / 201.14242 / 1.14524
SMA 20 / 50 / 2001.14457 / 1.15663 / 1.16479
RSI(14)43.2
ATR(14)52.1 pips

Provider consensus

Providers monitored20
Measurable calls14
Independent calls6
Duplicates removed8

65.3% bullish · 0% neutral · 34.7% bearish

Accuracy-weighted consensus: bullish with 66.4% confidence.

Consensus qualification: not enough independent calls yet.

Sources and disclosure

  • OANDA v20: EUR/USD daily and four-hour midpoint candles
  • Stooq: US Dollar Index daily history (unavailable for this run)

Educational market research only. This is not individualized investment advice or a promise of future performance.

Recorded outcome: open