Steven Grant Almeida FX research and analysis
2026-07-13 · By Steven Grant Almeida

EUR/USD Daily Research Brief - 2026-07-13

Primary bias: bearish. This report was timestamped before its outcome and will remain in the archive.

Upper trigger 1.14519 Lower trigger 1.13819 Target 1 1.13483 Invalidation 1.14169

Bias factors

-1
Price vs EMA20
Price is below EMA20
-1
EMA9 vs EMA20
Fast EMA leads lower
-1
SMA20 vs SMA50
Medium trend is defensive
-1
Ichimoku cloud
Price is below the daily cloud

Technical snapshot

Close1.14150
EMA 9 / 201.14223 / 1.14488
SMA 20 / 50 / 2001.14381 / 1.15602 / 1.16463
RSI(14)41.2
ATR(14)51.7 pips

Provider consensus

Providers monitored20
Measurable calls8
Independent calls5
Duplicates removed3

39% bullish · 18.5% neutral · 42.5% bearish

Accuracy-weighted consensus: neutral with 48.5% confidence.

Consensus qualification: not enough independent calls yet.

Sources and disclosure

  • OANDA v20: EUR/USD daily and four-hour midpoint candles
  • Stooq: US Dollar Index daily history (unavailable for this run)

Educational market research only. This is not individualized investment advice or a promise of future performance.

Recorded outcome: open