Steven Grant Almeida FX research and analysis
2026-07-16 · By Steven Grant Almeida

EUR/USD Daily Research Brief - 2026-07-16

Primary bias: neutral. This report was timestamped before its outcome and will remain in the archive.

Upper trigger 1.14851 Lower trigger 1.13755

Bias factors

+1
Price vs EMA20
Price is above EMA20
-1
EMA9 vs EMA20
Fast EMA leads lower
-1
SMA20 vs SMA50
Medium trend is defensive
0
Ichimoku cloud
Price is inside the daily cloud

Technical snapshot

Close1.14636
EMA 9 / 201.14250 / 1.14425
SMA 20 / 50 / 2001.14164 / 1.15428 / 1.16418
RSI(14)50.4
ATR(14)60.5 pips

Provider consensus

Providers monitored20
Measurable calls22
Independent calls15
Duplicates removed7

37.4% bullish · 28.8% neutral · 33.8% bearish

Accuracy-weighted consensus: neutral with 51.1% confidence.

Consensus qualification: used in final scenario.

Sources and disclosure

  • OANDA v20: EUR/USD daily and four-hour midpoint candles
  • Stooq: US Dollar Index daily history (unavailable for this run)

Educational market research only. This is not individualized investment advice or a promise of future performance.