Steven Grant Almeida FX research and analysis
2026-07-17 · By Steven Grant Almeida

EUR/USD Daily Research Brief - 2026-07-17

Primary bias: bearish. This report was timestamped before its outcome and will remain in the archive.

Upper trigger 1.14846 Lower trigger 1.14038 Target 1 1.13658 Invalidation 1.14442

Bias factors

+1
Price vs EMA20
Price is above EMA20
-1
EMA9 vs EMA20
Fast EMA leads lower
-1
SMA20 vs SMA50
Medium trend is defensive
-1
Ichimoku cloud
Price is below the daily cloud

Technical snapshot

Close1.14431
EMA 9 / 201.14286 / 1.14425
SMA 20 / 50 / 2001.14156 / 1.15372 / 1.16407
RSI(14)47.6
ATR(14)58.5 pips

Provider consensus

Providers monitored20
Measurable calls13
Independent calls7
Duplicates removed6

26.6% bullish · 16.8% neutral · 56.6% bearish

Accuracy-weighted consensus: bearish with 66.3% confidence.

Consensus qualification: not enough independent calls yet.

Sources and disclosure

  • OANDA v20: EUR/USD daily and four-hour midpoint candles
  • Stooq: US Dollar Index daily history (unavailable for this run)

Educational market research only. This is not individualized investment advice or a promise of future performance.

Recorded outcome: not_triggered