Steven Grant Almeida FX research and analysis
2026-07-21 · By Steven Grant Almeida

EUR/USD Daily Research Brief - 2026-07-21

Primary bias: bearish. This report was timestamped before its outcome and will remain in the archive.

Upper trigger 1.14542 Lower trigger 1.14005 Target 1 1.13658 Invalidation 1.14352

Bias factors

-1
Price vs EMA20
Price is below EMA20
-1
EMA9 vs EMA20
Fast EMA leads lower
-1
SMA20 vs SMA50
Medium trend is defensive
-1
Ichimoku cloud
Price is below the daily cloud

Technical snapshot

Close1.14138
EMA 9 / 201.14272 / 1.14394
SMA 20 / 50 / 2001.14132 / 1.15229 / 1.16390
RSI(14)43.7
ATR(14)53.4 pips

Provider consensus

Providers monitored20
Measurable calls18
Independent calls12
Duplicates removed6

38.5% bullish · 27.7% neutral · 33.9% bearish

Accuracy-weighted consensus: neutral with 51% confidence.

Consensus qualification: used in final scenario.

Sources and disclosure

  • OANDA v20: EUR/USD daily and four-hour midpoint candles
  • Stooq: US Dollar Index daily history (unavailable for this run)

Educational market research only. This is not individualized investment advice or a promise of future performance.

Recorded outcome: open