Steven Grant Almeida FX research and analysis
2026-07-24 · By Steven Grant Almeida

EUR/USD Daily Research Brief - 2026-07-24

Primary bias: bearish. This report was timestamped before its outcome and will remain in the archive.

Upper trigger 1.14370 Lower trigger 1.13618 Target 1 1.13291 Invalidation 1.13994

Bias factors

-1
Price vs EMA20
Price is below EMA20
-1
EMA9 vs EMA20
Fast EMA leads lower
-1
SMA20 vs SMA50
Medium trend is defensive
-1
Ichimoku cloud
Price is below the daily cloud

Technical snapshot

Close1.13775
EMA 9 / 201.14111 / 1.14279
SMA 20 / 50 / 2001.14171 / 1.15042 / 1.16359
RSI(14)39.7
ATR(14)50.2 pips

Provider consensus

Providers monitored20
Measurable calls23
Independent calls8
Duplicates removed15

47.4% bullish · 11.9% neutral · 40.7% bearish

Accuracy-weighted consensus: neutral with 51.4% confidence.

Consensus qualification: used in final scenario.

Sources and disclosure

  • OANDA v20: EUR/USD daily and four-hour midpoint candles
  • Stooq: US Dollar Index daily history (unavailable for this run)

Educational market research only. This is not individualized investment advice or a promise of future performance.

Recorded outcome: not_triggered