Steven Grant Almeida FX research and analysis
2026-09-25 · By Steven Grant Almeida

EUR/USD Daily Research Brief - 2026-09-25

Primary bias: bearish. This report was timestamped before its outcome and will remain in the archive.

Upper trigger 1.14532 Lower trigger 1.13567 Target 1 1.13244 Invalidation 1.14050

Bias factors

-1
Price vs EMA20
Price is below EMA20
-1
EMA9 vs EMA20
Fast EMA leads lower
+1
SMA20 vs SMA50
Medium trend is constructive
-1
Ichimoku cloud
Price is below the daily cloud

Technical snapshot

Close1.13802
EMA 9 / 201.14615 / 1.15147
SMA 20 / 50 / 2001.15451 / 1.15362 / 1.16225
RSI(14)26.3
ATR(14)49.8 pips

Sources and disclosure

  • OANDA v20: EUR/USD daily and four-hour midpoint candles
  • Stooq: US Dollar Index daily history (unavailable for this run)

Educational market research only. This is not individualized investment advice or a promise of future performance.