Steven Grant Almeida FX research and analysis
2026-09-30 · By Steven Grant Almeida

EUR/USD Daily Research Brief - 2026-09-30

Primary bias: bearish. This report was timestamped before its outcome and will remain in the archive.

Upper trigger 1.13938 Lower trigger 1.13094 Target 1 1.12773 Invalidation 1.13516

Bias factors

-1
Price vs EMA20
Price is below EMA20
-1
EMA9 vs EMA20
Fast EMA leads lower
-1
SMA20 vs SMA50
Medium trend is defensive
-1
Ichimoku cloud
Price is below the daily cloud

Technical snapshot

Close1.13418
EMA 9 / 201.14141 / 1.14763
SMA 20 / 50 / 2001.15108 / 1.15333 / 1.16172
RSI(14)24.6
ATR(14)49.4 pips

Sources and disclosure

  • OANDA v20: EUR/USD daily and four-hour midpoint candles
  • Stooq: US Dollar Index daily history (unavailable for this run)

Educational market research only. This is not individualized investment advice or a promise of future performance.